Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Tomorrow's GDP

Tomorrow's GDP may be one of the more important economic releases in quite some time in my view. The baked in the cake positive growth percentage seems like a 100% lock. I hate these 100% locks as it seems they often call for a surprise.

Great Britain just came out with a negative quarter which threw the markets for a loop. The US and GB have been closely linked throughout this economic "Great Recession" as bond legend Bill Gross calls it.

The Market expects a 3.2% growth (annualized qtr / qtr) rate of growth. Last qtr saw a decrease of 0.7%. Stay tuned for the number tomorrow. How much did cash for clunkers and the housing $8000 for first time buyers input into this equation? That is a huge question as C F C has already rolled off the books and the 1st time $8k help is scheduled to fall off soon.

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