Recently, in an alumni newsletter, I read a story about a fund raiser in memory of Lisa Marie Muccilo, an alumnus of Manhattan College. She went to the school at around the time that I did, but even though I recognized her photo, I did not know her too well in college. I searched the web and found out that she lived a remarkable life. Her story offers lessons for everyone, but in particular Wall Street.
Five years after graduating college, Lisa was diagnosed with an aggressive form of breast cancer. She fought the disease before losing the battle in 2003. However, what makes Lisa’s story so compelling and her legacy so beautiful is what she did during those last six years of her life while fighting her illness. From the time she was diagnosed, “and while still working as an engineer, she founded the Northern New Jersey branch of the Young Survival Coalition (YSCNJ) where she served as an officer and board member. She also went on the advisory committee for a drug panel, was twice invited to the White House, co-starred in a lifetime TV documentary, raised over $100,000 for the YSCNJ in 2003, joined then Vice President Dick Cheney at lunch with other breast cancer heroes, implemented the MAAC Fights Back Program, and spoke with students, corporations and other breast cancer survivors. She also worked hard at helping those around her cope with her disease.” (Please note, the sources of this material, some copied word for word, came from Jasper Jottings Daily, the Val Skinner Foundation, and YSCNNJ).
The way she lived her life offers four ways that can help transform Wall Street into a better place. Before continuing, it is important to understand that I used Wall Street as an example because I am a product of the industry. I also understand that Wall Street does many things right, and that there are plenty of other industries and governments that can learn these lessons too. However, once in a while, it makes sense to reflect on how your own profession could do things even better, and Lisa’s example sets that standard.
The first way Wall Street can learn from Lisa is by looking at how selflessly she worked to help others while going through the most difficult of circumstances. If there is something that Wall Street can learn to do it is to be more selfless, even under its most recent trying times. Lisa set a supreme example of how to help others. Look at the amazing things she accomplished during her battle with breast cancer.
Second, Lisa helped others by giving feedback through a pharmaceutical advisory board. Wall Street could learn to seek outside feedback and could do this by creating an independent financial advisory board. The panel would include people from outside of the industry as well as industry experts to advise on everything from the use of the much misunderstood esoteric credit derivatives to pay packages and other ethical questions.
Third, Lisa worked to change the image of breast cancer away from one that afflicted just older women to one that also afflicted the young. Wall Street could learn something from this process of image change. The Main Street image of Wall Street as the Gordon Gekko tycoon from the movie Wall Street (a classic movie though it is), out for only its own interests, needs to change.
Fourth, Lisa got the word out on prevention: what was happening to her should not happen to other young women in the future. Wall Street too could seek ways to prevent a future financial panic like the current one from ever happening again. I am a student of economics and understand that capitalism is susceptible to financial panics. However, even though it is impossible to prevent a financial meltdown, lessons can be learned to lessen its effects. Lisa again serves as an inspiration. After diagnosis, she became an advocate of getting the word out, she was in a TV documentary and her picture with her story was placed in a shopping mall. Wall Street needs to do the same thing by learning from its past.
I felt compelled to write about Lisa Marie Muccilo because of all the wonderful things she did while going through the most trying of circumstances. Wall Street can learn from her and improve some of its ways. With time, others will see improvements too. In the months ahead, I will be exploring ways of helping to continue some of the good work that Lisa Marie Muccilo has started.
For more on Lisa from the Val Skinner foundation: http://www.valskinnerfoundation.org/muccilo.php?PHPSESSID=5ab25d8168b008033557b90ea06c7f5f
For more on Lisa from the Manhattan College Alumni newsletter:
http://jasperjottings-daily.com/2009/01/30/jemail-mcgrath-erin-m-mc1992-memorializes-lisa-marie-muccilo-92-on-228-at-halftime/
For more on the Young Survival Coalition of Northern New Jersey:
http://www.youngsurvival.org/northernnewjersey
For more on breast cancer:http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/types/breast
Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Saturday, July 25, 2009
Article About Lisa Marie Muccilo
Last week I wrote an article about Lisa Marie Muccilo and how her good works could be an inspiration to Wall Street. I sent it out to a newspaper for publication and their rules say it can only be used by them. So I took it down from here. If they do not publish it (which looks to be the case), I will re-post the article here in a couple weeks.
Thanks
Tom Henderson
Thanks
Tom Henderson
Sunday, July 5, 2009
Wimbledon 2009
Congrats to Federer for winning the most slams ever. He is a great champion.
Congrats to Roddick for in my mind he was the true star today. Of course I am biased as an American, but I have watched Roddick since he played in the US Open in 2001. His talent is enormous and although I have always thought of him as a great sportsman, I never saw the desire in him... until today. Of course Nadal is another guy who has the heart of a lion and the famous Austrian Muster had great heart. But I am so glad to see Roddick leaving it all out there.
Strategy wise, when he started to hit his forehand with that extra pace, Federer was struggling with it.
Congrats to Serena for her win and to both Venus and Serena for their doubles championship.
I tip my hat the the Bryan brothers who also are incredibly consistent players but fell short of the doubles title.
Lastly, the Federer Roddick match in my view was better than last year's final that Federer and Nadal had.
Congrats to Roddick for in my mind he was the true star today. Of course I am biased as an American, but I have watched Roddick since he played in the US Open in 2001. His talent is enormous and although I have always thought of him as a great sportsman, I never saw the desire in him... until today. Of course Nadal is another guy who has the heart of a lion and the famous Austrian Muster had great heart. But I am so glad to see Roddick leaving it all out there.
Strategy wise, when he started to hit his forehand with that extra pace, Federer was struggling with it.
Congrats to Serena for her win and to both Venus and Serena for their doubles championship.
I tip my hat the the Bryan brothers who also are incredibly consistent players but fell short of the doubles title.
Lastly, the Federer Roddick match in my view was better than last year's final that Federer and Nadal had.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
NYU Executive MBA Program
I have been accepted into NYU's Executive MBA program and am very excited about it! I begin in August. Hello to all of the Sternies out there!
Tom Henderson
Tom Henderson
The Inflection Point Articles on Seeking Alpha
Thanks to all of the readers who have come to this blog! I will continue to post articles here but have also begun posting articles on Seeking Alpha under The Inflection Point Banner. Below find a link to that site.
Feel free to comment on any of The Inflection Point articles on the Seeking Alpha site. Just so the reader knows, the Seeking Alpha web site and The Inflection Point articles on Seeking Alpha web site are free. Our posts on the site allow us to publish our ideas and to seek feedback. We are also looking to expand the readership of our weekly subscription newsletter.
Thanks to all of the loyal readers!
Sincerely,
Tom Henderson
Link to the Inflection Point articles on Seeking Alpha:
http://seekingalpha.com/author/the-inflection-point/articles
Link to The Inflection Point newsletter home page:
http://www.jbhcapital.net/
Feel free to comment on any of The Inflection Point articles on the Seeking Alpha site. Just so the reader knows, the Seeking Alpha web site and The Inflection Point articles on Seeking Alpha web site are free. Our posts on the site allow us to publish our ideas and to seek feedback. We are also looking to expand the readership of our weekly subscription newsletter.
Thanks to all of the loyal readers!
Sincerely,
Tom Henderson
Link to the Inflection Point articles on Seeking Alpha:
http://seekingalpha.com/author/the-inflection-point/articles
Link to The Inflection Point newsletter home page:
http://www.jbhcapital.net/
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Gatsby and Gilded Age Fade As Recession Seizes Long Island’s East End
I went to the town of Montauk on the eastern end of Long Island over the Memorial Day weekend. It is the last town on the south shore of Long Island and follows the Hamptons towns. It has gorgeous ocean beaches, large swaths of nature reserves and hiking trails, very friendly people and some of the best fishing in the world. It truly is a wonderful hamlet and is one of my favorite places to get away. Some speculate that F. Scott Fitzgerald in The Great Gatsby, when writing about the golden age in America and Long Island during the 1920s, was writing about the Hamptons.
Since the 1990s, Montauk, like its Hamptons neighbors to the west, experienced a boom. As Wall Street soared, Montauk and the Hamptons did even better. As the national real estate boom swept Montauk and the Hamptons, even the recession in 2002 could not slow their growth. I read a real estate report that said home prices in the area went up by about 200% from 1999 through 2008. That comes out to about a 14% compound annual rate of return. Simply put, these were astonishing returns.
Over the years, I tried to go to Montauk in the off season because of the expense and the crowds in the high season. I can remember times during the high season when I would not see a ‘Vacancy’ sign on any motel. Summer rentals prices soared too. Dan Rattiner, of the famous Dan’s Papers, (A newspaper about the entire goings on in the Hamptons and Montauk) recently wrote that during the boom years there were times that he could not find parking when he went to the store. Even Fitzgerald’s Jay Gatsby would have been impressed.
This is changing though, as the recession that has taken hold of the country, is now affecting the east end. This spring, Dan Rattiner in his Dan’s Papers wrote that traffic was considerably lower. This weekend, as I walked through the town, I noticed many ‘Vacancy’, ‘For Rent’ and ‘For Sale’ signs. In some stores, I saw two-for-one specials; in some restaurants I saw advertisements for lunches under $10. The real estate market has also been affected as homes are sitting on the market for longer periods and prices drop. According to Prudential Douglas Elliman's Q1 2009 real estate east end report covering Montauk and the Hamptons, median sales prices dropped 23% and average selling prices by 36% from the prior year comparable period. The people in the town I spoke with were very friendly as usual, but their anxiety was palpable as the depths of the recession are visible. They all wanted to know when things were going to get better. It even seems like The Great Gatsby would have been humbled by this recession.
I don’t like writing about difficult times. A weak economy affects everyone. The bus boys and waiters and the fishing boats, the very friendly caretakers at the resort I stay at, the real estate agents, the local ice cream store all feel the economic vacuum. However, there are positives. Wall Street’s excesses fed the boom on Long Island’s east end. Wall Street is retrenching and the considerable overbuilding in the Hamptons and Montauk is now correcting. Eventually, equilibrium will take hold and a new more sustainable economic expansion will ensue. The golden age on the east end is over and Gatsby is nowhere to be found, but in some ways that may be for the best.
Since the 1990s, Montauk, like its Hamptons neighbors to the west, experienced a boom. As Wall Street soared, Montauk and the Hamptons did even better. As the national real estate boom swept Montauk and the Hamptons, even the recession in 2002 could not slow their growth. I read a real estate report that said home prices in the area went up by about 200% from 1999 through 2008. That comes out to about a 14% compound annual rate of return. Simply put, these were astonishing returns.
Over the years, I tried to go to Montauk in the off season because of the expense and the crowds in the high season. I can remember times during the high season when I would not see a ‘Vacancy’ sign on any motel. Summer rentals prices soared too. Dan Rattiner, of the famous Dan’s Papers, (A newspaper about the entire goings on in the Hamptons and Montauk) recently wrote that during the boom years there were times that he could not find parking when he went to the store. Even Fitzgerald’s Jay Gatsby would have been impressed.
This is changing though, as the recession that has taken hold of the country, is now affecting the east end. This spring, Dan Rattiner in his Dan’s Papers wrote that traffic was considerably lower. This weekend, as I walked through the town, I noticed many ‘Vacancy’, ‘For Rent’ and ‘For Sale’ signs. In some stores, I saw two-for-one specials; in some restaurants I saw advertisements for lunches under $10. The real estate market has also been affected as homes are sitting on the market for longer periods and prices drop. According to Prudential Douglas Elliman's Q1 2009 real estate east end report covering Montauk and the Hamptons, median sales prices dropped 23% and average selling prices by 36% from the prior year comparable period. The people in the town I spoke with were very friendly as usual, but their anxiety was palpable as the depths of the recession are visible. They all wanted to know when things were going to get better. It even seems like The Great Gatsby would have been humbled by this recession.
I don’t like writing about difficult times. A weak economy affects everyone. The bus boys and waiters and the fishing boats, the very friendly caretakers at the resort I stay at, the real estate agents, the local ice cream store all feel the economic vacuum. However, there are positives. Wall Street’s excesses fed the boom on Long Island’s east end. Wall Street is retrenching and the considerable overbuilding in the Hamptons and Montauk is now correcting. Eventually, equilibrium will take hold and a new more sustainable economic expansion will ensue. The golden age on the east end is over and Gatsby is nowhere to be found, but in some ways that may be for the best.
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Q 1 2009 GDP
This is a difficult call as there are many cross currents. From my perspective the range is wide. Some signs of stabilization from the US consumer diverges with the continued collapse in global trade. Unemployment continues to increase rapidly and although this is a lagging indicator it may not be as lagging as it used to be as companies seem to move much faster nowadays compared to the past when cutting jobs. Housing is at the very least slowing its rapid decline. Corporations though will probably continue to hunker down.
All right my call is a gut one and I am not as confident in it as I was the Q4 2008 GDP annualized number. Q 1 was still declining and my guess is that the annualized rate of -2% to -4%.
Inventories are going to have an effect this quarter and the size of the decline will depend on the rate of decline in the inventories. Exports and the US consumer are a little easier to peg.
Not sure when the first estimate comes out but I figured to go on the record with my very rough prediction.
All right my call is a gut one and I am not as confident in it as I was the Q4 2008 GDP annualized number. Q 1 was still declining and my guess is that the annualized rate of -2% to -4%.
Inventories are going to have an effect this quarter and the size of the decline will depend on the rate of decline in the inventories. Exports and the US consumer are a little easier to peg.
Not sure when the first estimate comes out but I figured to go on the record with my very rough prediction.
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